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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+4.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+7.86vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+5.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+3.89vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+5.80vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.13+1.71vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-3.78vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.70+1.17vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.83-0.23vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.50-3.77vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.28-3.96vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.11-5.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.28vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.32-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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8.48University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.8Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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4.22Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.17Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.77George Washington University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.23Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.04Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Carina Becker | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 20.1% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% |
| Julia LaForgia | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.