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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.16+7.32vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.32vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+2.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.70+6.34vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+2.81vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+0.61vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+3.11vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55+2.66vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.13-0.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.25vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.50-3.76vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.83-2.30vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.11-5.47vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.28-6.88vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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4.32Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.5Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.34Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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10.66Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.49Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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8.12Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.9% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Lulu Russell | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Carina Becker | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% |
| Emma Snead | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Julia LaForgia | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 21.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.