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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.70+9.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28+5.93vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+5.47vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.55+6.88vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-0.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.69vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+0.83vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50-0.89vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.99-3.52vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.83-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.11-2.31vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.69-5.43vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-1.49vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-4.13vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.13-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.03Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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7.93Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.47University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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10.88Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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4.34Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.11Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.48Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Batcher | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Carina Becker | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 17.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.0% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia LaForgia | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 22.3% |
| Lulu Russell | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.