Race 7A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Blaire McCarthy 4.7% 8.1% 8.4% 6.8% 7.1% 6.8% 7.7% 6.7% 7.0% 8.4% 6.5% 6.4% 4.9% 4.3% 3.8% 2.4%
Emma Kaneti 9.6% 10.6% 9.8% 8.0% 8.2% 7.9% 7.1% 8.4% 6.3% 6.8% 4.9% 4.8% 3.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.9%
Abbie Carlson 4.1% 3.3% 4.1% 4.1% 4.9% 4.4% 5.8% 5.3% 7.6% 6.6% 8.0% 8.9% 8.5% 8.9% 8.1% 7.4%
Christine Klingler 16.9% 17.8% 11.7% 12.2% 9.9% 8.0% 7.8% 5.6% 3.9% 2.3% 1.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Michelle Lahrkamp 12.4% 10.7% 12.5% 10.5% 11.1% 8.2% 7.2% 6.2% 6.6% 5.2% 3.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.9% 6.9% 7.4% 6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 6.6% 7.0% 7.9% 7.3% 5.0% 4.0%
Delaney Bamford 7.7% 6.6% 7.2% 5.7% 7.1% 6.9% 6.7% 6.9% 8.0% 7.1% 6.5% 7.1% 6.6% 4.8% 3.1% 2.0%
Julia LaForgia 4.2% 4.5% 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 5.8% 7.0% 6.5% 6.6% 8.2% 9.0% 8.4% 8.1% 6.2%
Lolly Vasilion 5.2% 6.1% 5.9% 5.6% 6.2% 5.8% 8.7% 7.8% 5.8% 9.0% 7.4% 5.2% 6.5% 5.2% 5.7% 3.9%
Abigail VanLonkhuyzen 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 3.2% 2.3% 4.1% 3.1% 3.3% 4.9% 4.3% 6.7% 8.5% 9.1% 11.1% 13.3% 18.0%
Carina Becker 4.0% 3.0% 3.3% 3.1% 4.9% 4.3% 3.7% 5.0% 4.3% 7.3% 6.4% 5.8% 9.0% 11.2% 11.7% 13.0%
Emma Snead 5.7% 5.2% 4.6% 7.1% 6.5% 7.4% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 6.1% 7.6% 7.2% 6.9% 6.4% 5.9% 3.9%
Marina Barzaghi 4.6% 5.0% 7.5% 6.7% 5.2% 7.1% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 7.3% 7.2% 6.8% 6.2% 5.8% 5.3% 2.3%
Daisy Holthus 8.8% 6.2% 8.1% 9.5% 7.3% 7.8% 8.5% 8.4% 7.0% 6.3% 7.1% 4.9% 4.1% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0%
Emma Batcher 3.7% 3.2% 2.9% 3.0% 4.8% 5.2% 6.0% 5.6% 6.4% 4.9% 7.4% 8.2% 9.0% 10.6% 10.4% 8.7%
Aili Moffet 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 4.1% 4.0% 4.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 10.0% 15.4% 26.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.