Race 8A

stu-nelson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Carina Becker 1.8% 3.7% 3.3% 5.5% 3.9% 5.7% 5.2% 4.8% 5.5% 5.0% 6.5% 7.3% 7.6% 11.8% 10.9% 11.5%
Michelle Lahrkamp 13.2% 13.3% 11.8% 9.5% 9.6% 8.5% 7.0% 6.4% 5.0% 5.0% 4.7% 2.4% 1.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Emma Kaneti 9.9% 8.2% 9.0% 8.8% 9.0% 7.9% 8.7% 8.4% 7.6% 7.5% 4.1% 4.2% 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 1.0%
Delaney Bamford 6.1% 6.5% 7.9% 7.7% 6.4% 7.8% 7.1% 6.1% 6.4% 8.6% 7.1% 5.3% 6.7% 4.8% 4.0% 1.5%
Blaire McCarthy 5.9% 6.5% 6.4% 7.6% 5.7% 7.6% 8.5% 7.0% 6.6% 7.3% 5.9% 7.2% 6.8% 5.3% 3.9% 1.8%
Christine Klingler 18.0% 16.5% 15.0% 10.9% 9.7% 8.3% 5.4% 4.8% 3.6% 2.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 6.1% 5.4% 6.1% 5.9% 6.5% 6.1% 6.0% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 6.7% 4.8% 2.8%
Abbie Carlson 3.6% 4.3% 4.8% 3.7% 4.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 7.5% 8.9% 8.7% 8.2% 8.2%
Lolly Vasilion 5.7% 5.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.2% 6.1% 7.1% 7.5% 6.6% 7.5% 6.9% 7.5% 5.3% 6.1% 5.4% 4.1%
Amanda Majernik 5.7% 5.2% 4.7% 5.3% 6.0% 6.5% 5.7% 7.5% 8.5% 7.5% 7.7% 8.7% 6.4% 7.2% 4.0% 3.4%
Emma Snead 5.6% 5.3% 5.1% 6.5% 6.5% 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 6.0% 7.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 6.1% 5.8% 3.4%
Aili Moffet 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 4.2% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.7% 7.2% 9.8% 14.1% 27.1%
Emma Batcher 2.8% 3.7% 4.2% 3.9% 5.6% 4.3% 6.1% 4.9% 5.2% 5.9% 9.0% 8.1% 8.5% 8.7% 9.9% 9.2%
Daisy Holthus 8.3% 6.8% 7.5% 8.6% 9.9% 8.2% 8.2% 6.3% 8.0% 6.0% 6.4% 5.4% 4.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.0%
Abigail VanLonkhuyzen 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 4.4% 4.9% 5.6% 4.3% 5.5% 6.6% 9.1% 9.6% 16.0% 18.3%
Julia LaForgia 3.2% 4.2% 3.9% 4.7% 4.6% 5.1% 5.3% 6.7% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 8.3% 8.6% 8.0% 9.3% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.