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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+5.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+7.83vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+2.45vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.13+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+1.80vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.70+3.24vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.11+0.51vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+0.92vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.38-5.67vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.11+1.09vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.55-1.31vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.42vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.50-6.92vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.16-6.42vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.83-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.45Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.14Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.24Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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4.33Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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12.09Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.69Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.58University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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9.78George Washington University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 8.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.1% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 29.2% |
| Carina Becker | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 15.4% |
| Emma Snead | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Julia LaForgia | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.