← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University1.82+3.28vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.69+2.40vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.14+2.93vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.84+0.05vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.81-0.65vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.28-2.70vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.45-2.23vs Predicted
-
8Rice University0.91-1.89vs Predicted
-
9Texas A&M University-0.26-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.28Stanford University1.8213.0%1st Place
-
4.4Florida State University1.6912.8%1st Place
-
5.93University of Wisconsin1.146.0%1st Place
-
4.05Tulane University1.8414.6%1st Place
-
4.35College of Charleston1.8112.8%1st Place
-
3.3Tulane University2.2823.3%1st Place
-
4.77Jacksonville University1.4510.3%1st Place
-
6.11Rice University0.915.7%1st Place
-
7.81Texas A&M University-0.261.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dylan Sih | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
Peter Foley | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
Charlie Herrick | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 22.3% | 12.3% |
Matheo Graham-capasso | 14.6% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
Emma Tallman | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
Kelly Holthus | 23.3% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Hank Seum | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 4.2% |
Ricky Miller | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 16.0% |
Zachary Aronson | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 15.1% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.