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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+6.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+4.44vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.11+5.67vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+3.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+5.01vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-1.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28+1.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.13-0.52vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55+0.82vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.11+1.05vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.99-6.54vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.83-3.36vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.70-3.98vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-4.93vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.16-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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7.36Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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4.38Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.06Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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10.82Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.05Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.46Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.64George Washington University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.02Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.5% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Carina Becker | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 30.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Julia LaForgia | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.