Race 11A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Amanda Majernik 4.3% 6.5% 6.4% 6.8% 6.1% 7.0% 6.1% 6.5% 5.5% 7.1% 7.3% 7.2% 7.4% 6.2% 5.9% 3.7%
Delaney Bamford 6.1% 8.2% 7.7% 7.1% 7.0% 6.5% 7.2% 7.4% 7.2% 6.5% 7.1% 5.9% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.5%
Michelle Lahrkamp 13.4% 11.0% 9.8% 10.3% 10.1% 8.4% 9.1% 9.4% 5.0% 3.8% 3.5% 2.0% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Emma Kaneti 8.5% 9.1% 9.9% 7.6% 7.7% 8.9% 8.3% 8.0% 5.9% 7.0% 4.8% 4.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Lolly Vasilion 4.4% 5.9% 5.5% 5.4% 6.4% 6.3% 8.2% 6.4% 6.7% 7.2% 7.8% 6.6% 6.9% 6.6% 6.1% 3.6%
Emma Snead 4.4% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 6.7% 6.4% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.4% 7.3% 5.9% 6.5% 5.2%
Blaire McCarthy 6.5% 6.0% 7.0% 5.8% 6.2% 6.4% 7.6% 6.3% 6.5% 7.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.4% 5.5% 4.3% 2.2%
Abbie Carlson 3.8% 4.3% 4.3% 4.1% 5.8% 4.1% 4.7% 5.9% 6.8% 6.0% 6.1% 8.3% 8.7% 9.2% 8.5% 9.4%
Christine Klingler 19.4% 16.9% 12.2% 12.3% 9.2% 7.7% 7.8% 4.4% 3.2% 2.0% 1.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Daisy Holthus 8.0% 6.7% 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 8.3% 6.9% 8.4% 8.4% 8.0% 6.6% 6.2% 3.3% 4.3% 1.7% 1.5%
Carina Becker 3.8% 2.5% 3.6% 3.9% 4.3% 3.3% 4.5% 4.0% 6.2% 5.6% 5.8% 7.3% 7.8% 10.8% 11.1% 15.5%
Marina Barzaghi 5.0% 6.3% 5.7% 6.3% 7.7% 6.3% 5.7% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 6.5% 6.8% 7.7% 6.3% 5.7% 4.2%
Lulu Russell 2.9% 3.3% 4.7% 4.6% 4.7% 5.3% 4.3% 5.7% 7.1% 6.8% 7.1% 7.6% 8.4% 8.4% 9.7% 9.4%
Julia LaForgia 4.5% 3.2% 4.3% 4.7% 4.3% 6.8% 6.1% 5.4% 6.3% 7.2% 7.9% 7.6% 6.3% 7.9% 9.2% 8.3%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.7% 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.3% 3.3% 2.9% 3.8% 5.9% 4.7% 6.1% 6.5% 7.1% 10.2% 14.5% 22.6%
Emma Batcher 2.3% 3.9% 3.8% 4.1% 3.9% 4.7% 4.2% 5.7% 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 7.1% 8.8% 8.7% 10.4% 11.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.