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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+4.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+7.81vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+5.50vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.55+6.89vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11+3.69vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.13+1.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-3.78vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.28-1.05vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.32+1.62vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.50-3.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.33vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.70-2.80vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-6.36vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.83-5.19vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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10.89Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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6.59Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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4.22Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.95Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.2Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.81George Washington University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Carina Becker | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 16.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.1% | 18.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 21.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Julia LaForgia | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.