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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+4.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+6.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+5.02vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.13+4.76vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+3.48vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+0.57vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.50+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.11+0.51vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.83+0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55+0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-3.26vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.70-1.80vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-3.09vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.38-9.77vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.32-3.38vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.02Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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8.48University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.38Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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9.67George Washington University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.82Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.2Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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4.23Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.7% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Julia LaForgia | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Carina Becker | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 15.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.9% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 21.3% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.