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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+4.81vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+5.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+4.93vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.89+3.39vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.71+3.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.08vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.41-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89-0.73vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.31-3.19vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-3.49vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-4.56vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77-0.72vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.76-1.73vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.50-5.05vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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8.93Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.26Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.81Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.51Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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12.28Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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12.27George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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9.95Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.18University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Julia Johansson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 29.2% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 28.4% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.