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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.77+11.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+3.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+5.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.71+5.17vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94+2.23vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+0.49vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.50+1.72vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-0.14vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.89-1.57vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-3.41vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.31-5.17vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.76-0.67vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.89-5.76vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.41-8.48vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.14Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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5.89Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.23University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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7.59Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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12.33George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 28.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Grace Gear | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 29.1% |
| Julia Johansson | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.