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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+6.79vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.94+5.18vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.89+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+2.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.02vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.31-0.14vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55-2.26vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.89-1.59vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-3.49vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.41-5.51vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77-0.68vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.76-1.70vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.50-5.03vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.71-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.18University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania1.890.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.86Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.74Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.65Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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7.51Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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12.32Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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12.3George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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9.97Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Julia Johansson | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Grace Gear | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 29.3% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 29.8% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.