← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.19+1.92vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.26+2.77vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.60+1.24vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.02-0.56vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.83+0.74vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.34-1.58vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University0.82-1.30vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University1.35-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92Stanford University2.1926.7%1st Place
-
4.77College of Charleston1.269.7%1st Place
-
4.24University of South Florida1.6012.9%1st Place
-
3.44Tulane University2.0219.4%1st Place
-
5.74University of South Florida0.835.1%1st Place
-
4.42Tulane University1.3411.1%1st Place
-
5.7Jacksonville University0.825.2%1st Place
-
4.78Tulane University1.359.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 26.7% | 22.1% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Samantha Gardner | 19.4% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Grace Jones | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 19.2% | 28.6% |
| Lucy Spearman | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 26.9% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.