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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.25+3.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+1.52vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.10+0.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.55-1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.72+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.74-2.18vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.03-0.35vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.55-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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3.52Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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3.25Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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2.61Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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5.66University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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3.82University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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6.65Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.81Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Denney | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 6.6% |
| Ian Donahue | 16.0% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Genoa Warner | 20.7% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 30.2% | 25.0% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 24.1% | 18.3% |
| Hunter Mumma | 14.0% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 49.4% |
| Alexander Strothe | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 24.8% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.