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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+4.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+6.02vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.50+5.96vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+2.47vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.76+6.35vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.89+1.46vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55-2.25vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11-1.57vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.71-0.88vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.31-4.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-3.61vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-4.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-5.23vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.94-6.73vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.4Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.96Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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12.35George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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5.75Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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8.27University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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12.45Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 30.4% |
| Julia Johansson | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Grace Gear | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.