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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+5.63vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.76vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+4.38vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.94+4.32vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+0.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+0.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+0.81vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.71-0.02vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-2.38vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.76+1.23vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.50-2.23vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.73-0.61vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-5.79vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.89-6.52vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.32University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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5.99Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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7.62Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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12.23George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.39Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 30.6% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 28.7% |
| Grace Gear | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Julia Johansson | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.