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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+5.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+6.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.41+3.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+2.93vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.89+2.43vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+0.61vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.71+0.91vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.50+0.76vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.94-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.15-3.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-3.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-4.13vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.73-1.65vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.76-2.55vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.89-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.64Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Pennsylvania1.890.0%1st Place
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7.61Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.76Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.23University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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12.35Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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12.45George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Johansson | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.7% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 29.3% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 30.4% |
| Grace Gear | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.