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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+5.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.94+5.15vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+4.89vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+0.99vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+1.61vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.71+0.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-2.55vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.89-2.68vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.31-5.17vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.50-3.24vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-5.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.73-2.47vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.76-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.15University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.89Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.99Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.61Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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12.53Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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12.46George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Julia Johansson | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
| Grace Gear | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 17.6% | 31.4% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.