Race 10B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sarah Burn 9.1% 9.5% 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 7.7% 7.2% 7.3% 6.3% 5.2% 4.7% 5.2% 4.4% 3.8% 1.7% 1.2%
Hallie Schiffman 12.6% 11.1% 10.9% 8.7% 9.6% 7.2% 7.4% 7.3% 5.3% 5.9% 4.1% 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.6%
Allison Cahn 5.1% 4.9% 5.0% 6.4% 5.8% 6.6% 6.5% 6.4% 7.0% 6.5% 8.1% 8.3% 7.1% 5.9% 6.5% 3.9%
Kathryn Bornarth 5.3% 7.0% 6.6% 5.7% 6.1% 7.0% 5.5% 7.9% 7.0% 5.6% 7.7% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 5.1% 2.5%
Megan Grimes 8.6% 9.4% 6.5% 9.0% 9.5% 8.6% 7.2% 6.9% 6.6% 6.0% 6.6% 4.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.9%
Rebecca Read 7.0% 7.2% 7.9% 7.3% 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 8.1% 6.4% 6.2% 5.5% 6.0% 5.0% 4.4% 4.2% 1.7%
Emma AuBuchon 5.2% 5.7% 5.1% 4.8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 5.8% 7.4% 7.5% 6.7% 6.6% 9.0% 7.9% 5.0%
Annika Fedde 5.1% 5.7% 5.0% 5.4% 5.3% 5.6% 6.8% 5.8% 7.2% 6.8% 6.7% 8.6% 7.7% 6.3% 8.0% 4.0%
Miya Preyer 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 4.7% 4.6% 6.1% 7.3% 10.3% 14.6% 30.1%
Elizabeth Shanahan 3.9% 4.6% 4.4% 3.9% 3.2% 4.6% 5.3% 5.1% 6.4% 7.3% 5.8% 9.0% 8.7% 10.6% 8.7% 8.5%
Caroline Bayless 10.3% 9.1% 10.7% 8.1% 6.6% 8.2% 8.2% 8.0% 6.7% 6.5% 6.0% 3.3% 3.6% 2.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Sebby Turner 7.6% 6.8% 7.0% 9.0% 9.0% 5.7% 6.3% 5.7% 6.7% 7.5% 6.3% 6.0% 5.9% 4.8% 3.5% 2.2%
Julia Johansson 4.9% 5.6% 7.7% 6.4% 6.7% 5.1% 7.3% 6.8% 8.1% 6.4% 7.7% 6.9% 5.8% 6.2% 5.8% 2.6%
Julia Wyatt 5.7% 4.2% 5.2% 6.5% 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 6.5% 7.4% 7.1% 8.5% 6.8% 6.7% 4.0%
Grace Gear 6.3% 4.6% 5.9% 5.4% 6.6% 6.8% 7.4% 6.1% 7.4% 7.5% 7.2% 7.2% 6.7% 6.3% 6.0% 2.6%
Sarah Hardee 1.5% 2.2% 1.1% 2.9% 2.3% 3.1% 1.8% 3.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.1% 4.5% 7.9% 10.6% 17.3% 29.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.