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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+4.38vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+2.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.50+5.99vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.11+2.54vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94+2.27vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.31-0.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-1.66vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-1.18vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.89-2.67vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-3.04vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77-0.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.71-5.11vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.89-6.54vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.76-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.9Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.99Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.54Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.27University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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6.88Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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12.27Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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12.5George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 7.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 12.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Julia Johansson | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 27.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Grace Gear | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.