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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.89+7.21vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+5.43vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.94+5.18vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+2.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.00vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+0.52vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89-0.71vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.31-3.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.06vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.76+0.32vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-6.24vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.50-4.31vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.71-5.84vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21University of Pennsylvania1.890.0%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.18University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.03Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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12.32George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.69Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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12.43Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Johansson | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Grace Gear | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 31.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.