Race 14B

stu-nelson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Megan Grimes 9.3% 9.4% 9.7% 8.4% 8.2% 8.1% 7.0% 6.5% 7.0% 5.7% 5.5% 4.8% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 1.2%
Hallie Schiffman 12.5% 11.1% 10.8% 8.9% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 6.6% 6.0% 5.2% 4.6% 4.1% 2.8% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Sarah Burn 9.3% 8.5% 7.7% 8.1% 7.4% 8.5% 8.3% 8.1% 7.5% 6.3% 6.2% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6% 2.0% 1.1%
Grace Gear 4.8% 6.2% 7.1% 5.0% 7.4% 5.3% 6.4% 6.7% 6.3% 8.0% 7.1% 6.8% 5.8% 7.5% 6.0% 3.6%
Caroline Bayless 8.8% 10.5% 8.1% 9.6% 9.2% 8.1% 7.5% 7.0% 5.9% 7.2% 4.7% 4.8% 3.7% 3.0% 1.8% 0.1%
Kathryn Bornarth 5.2% 5.8% 6.8% 7.2% 7.0% 6.9% 6.3% 6.9% 6.3% 6.9% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9% 6.3% 6.0% 3.4%
Annika Fedde 4.8% 5.7% 5.2% 5.4% 4.2% 5.6% 6.1% 5.5% 7.3% 5.5% 8.0% 6.3% 9.1% 8.6% 8.2% 4.5%
Allison Cahn 5.2% 6.3% 5.0% 6.4% 5.5% 6.6% 6.7% 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 7.6% 7.5% 6.4% 2.6%
Julia Johansson 6.0% 6.0% 6.9% 5.2% 6.8% 6.1% 7.9% 6.8% 6.6% 6.5% 8.4% 6.1% 5.5% 5.6% 5.6% 4.0%
Emma AuBuchon 5.0% 5.2% 4.7% 4.9% 5.1% 6.2% 5.7% 6.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.2% 9.4% 8.8% 6.8% 6.3% 3.6%
Elizabeth Shanahan 4.9% 4.7% 3.2% 5.3% 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 5.8% 5.5% 6.8% 5.3% 7.4% 10.2% 9.1% 10.1% 7.8%
Sebby Turner 7.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.4% 6.8% 5.8% 6.3% 6.1% 7.1% 5.2% 7.2% 5.5% 5.2% 3.8% 2.1%
Julia Wyatt 4.9% 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.3% 6.3% 6.0% 6.3% 7.5% 7.3% 6.8% 7.4% 6.8% 7.3% 7.2% 4.9%
Hailey Pemberton 2.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 4.6% 3.9% 4.8% 6.1% 7.8% 11.5% 14.0% 27.9%
Sarah Hardee 2.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 3.0% 3.5% 3.1% 4.1% 5.3% 5.4% 6.7% 9.2% 16.8% 31.1%
Rebecca Read 7.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.2% 8.3% 8.4% 7.6% 7.8% 6.4% 5.9% 7.1% 6.1% 5.1% 4.2% 3.0% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.