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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+5.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.08+7.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+5.23vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.62+3.38vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.93+5.27vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.39+2.38vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+6.43vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.78-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.30vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.83vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.06-1.01vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+0.02vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.57vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.17-5.69vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.50-7.97vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.03-6.91vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.49-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.38Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.27Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.38George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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13.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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6.76George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.99Georgetown University2.060.0%1st Place
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12.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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11.78Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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12.0Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Person | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Gray Benson | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Edward Cook | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Janov | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 25.4% |
| Anthony Minder | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Gallagher | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas McCann | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 11.5% |
| Porter Killian | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| George White | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.