← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.97+2.44vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.55+0.61vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.25+1.68vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.74-0.13vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.10-1.68vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut1.72-0.43vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College1.55-1.08vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.03-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
-
2.61Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
-
4.68Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
-
3.87University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
-
3.32Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
-
5.57University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
-
5.92Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
-
6.59Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 18.7% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Mullins | 30.6% | 24.1% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Denney | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 7.3% |
| Hunter Mumma | 12.5% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Genoa Warner | 18.7% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Presti | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 18.3% |
| Alexander Strothe | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 24.3% | 26.9% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 24.2% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.