Race 10A

open-sugar-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matheo Graham-capasso 15.4% 15.8% 13.9% 13.3% 13.7% 10.3% 9.8% 6.2% 1.6%
Emma Tallman 12.6% 12.8% 13.2% 14.4% 13.9% 12.4% 10.8% 7.6% 2.3%
Kelly Holthus 22.6% 20.0% 16.7% 14.0% 11.4% 7.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Dylan Sih 13.6% 13.6% 13.4% 14.0% 13.2% 12.7% 10.8% 6.7% 2.1%
Hank Seum 11.1% 10.1% 12.5% 12.2% 13.8% 14.6% 13.0% 9.0% 3.8%
Ricky Miller 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 7.8% 8.3% 11.2% 16.2% 23.2% 14.1%
Charlie Herrick 5.5% 6.3% 8.0% 9.2% 10.1% 12.1% 14.7% 22.7% 11.5%
Zachary Aronson 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 5.8% 7.8% 14.1% 61.2%
Peter Foley 10.8% 13.1% 14.1% 12.8% 12.7% 13.4% 12.2% 8.1% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.