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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+5.50vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+4.97vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.50+5.18vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+7.51vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.17+4.26vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.62+1.45vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.49-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.01vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.39-1.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.97vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.51+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.85vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.06-4.52vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.49-2.85vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-2.37vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.93-6.44vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.08-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.97George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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8.18George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.69George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.42Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.48Georgetown University2.060.0%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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13.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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10.56Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Person | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Minder | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% |
| Porter Killian | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Edward Cook | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Gray Benson | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Janov | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.9% |
| William Gallagher | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Thomas McCann | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| George White | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 25.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.