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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.39+7.61vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+4.95vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.17+6.60vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.50+3.87vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+4.47vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.03+3.96vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.06+2.76vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.93-1.87vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.39+3.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.49-1.78vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.62-3.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.08-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.76-7.37vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.49-2.88vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-4.28vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-3.48vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.93-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.95George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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7.87George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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9.76Georgetown University2.060.0%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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12.55Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.56Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.12Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.52St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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10.11Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Janov | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Anthony Minder | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Porter Killian | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Priebe | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| Thomas McCann | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Person | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Chris Robertson | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.0% |
| Gray Benson | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Edward Cook | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| William Gallagher | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| George White | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 25.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.