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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.39+7.69vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+4.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.62+4.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.84vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.03+4.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.08+3.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.00vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.50-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.17+0.35vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.51+2.32vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.93-0.46vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.78-4.88vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.57vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.49-2.10vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-5.67vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-3.37vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.06-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.91George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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12.32Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.54Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.12George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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11.9Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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13.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Janov | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Person | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Edward Cook | 7.7% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Gray Benson | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Porter Killian | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% |
| Anthony Minder | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| George White | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% |
| William Gallagher | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 27.8% |
| Thomas McCann | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.