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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.50+7.20vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+4.99vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.62+4.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.08+5.57vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.39+3.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.90vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.64vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.93+2.27vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.29vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.51+2.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.93-4.66vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.03-1.69vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.49-6.26vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.17-5.68vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.49-3.69vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-3.44vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.06-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.99George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.35George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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10.27Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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12.36Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.31University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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11.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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12.31Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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13.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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9.61Georgetown University2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Priebe | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Anthony Minder | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Edward Cook | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Janov | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| William Gallagher | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% |
| Andrew Person | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% |
| Gray Benson | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Porter Killian | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| George White | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.4% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 26.7% |
| Thomas McCann | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.