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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.17+8.52vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.95+8.53vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.06+7.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.08+5.54vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.50+2.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.39+2.37vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.93-0.78vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.62-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.03+0.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.49-1.81vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.78-4.09vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.39+0.87vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.76-7.35vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.49-2.90vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.93-5.54vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.26vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.06Georgetown University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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7.89George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.37George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.37Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.91George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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12.87Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.1Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter Killian | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| William Gallagher | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Thomas McCann | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Priebe | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Janov | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Person | 10.3% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Edward Cook | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Gray Benson | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Minder | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Chris Robertson | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 20.7% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| George White | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.