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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.17+8.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+4.60vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.93+7.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.08+5.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41+2.83vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87+7.97vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.96+2.67vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.64vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.37vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.08vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.39-2.95vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.03-3.66vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.50-6.75vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.78-8.71vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.39-3.84vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.49-9.38vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.49-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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13.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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9.67Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.64Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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10.37St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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8.05George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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13.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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7.25George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.29George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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12.16Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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11.5Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter Killian | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Jack Corbett | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Booher | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 29.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Boyd Housey | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| William Gallagher | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Janov | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 22.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Priebe | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Minder | 10.1% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Chris Robertson | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% |
| Gray Benson | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| George White | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.