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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.96+8.93vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.17+7.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.08+6.47vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78+2.33vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.50+2.50vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.41+1.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.50vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.32vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.51+2.61vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.49-3.36vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.39-3.74vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.03-3.67vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-5.57vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.93-5.15vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-1.92vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.49-5.15vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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6.33George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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7.5George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.61Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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8.26George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.85Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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11.85Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Broussard | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Porter Killian | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Anthony Minder | 11.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Priebe | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Corbett | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% |
| William Gallagher | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Gray Benson | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Janov | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Boyd Housey | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Booher | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 31.2% |
| George White | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.