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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+8.71vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.39+10.39vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.39+5.14vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.41+3.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.08+4.12vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96+3.66vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.78-0.69vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.17-0.88vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.50-3.36vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.49-5.60vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-0.30vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.93-5.18vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.76-9.49vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-3.84vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.49-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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12.39Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.14George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.69Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.66Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.31George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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8.64Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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13.7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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9.82Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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13.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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11.48Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Chris Robertson | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% |
| Ryan Janov | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Jack Corbett | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Anthony Minder | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Boyd Housey | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| William Gallagher | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Porter Killian | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Priebe | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Gray Benson | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Booher | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 28.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 21.1% |
| George White | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.