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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+1.96vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.83+2.76vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.82+1.63vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.34-0.66vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.26-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60-2.72vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.35-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Stanford University2.1925.7%1st Place
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3.48Tulane University2.0220.5%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida0.834.7%1st Place
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5.63Jacksonville University0.825.5%1st Place
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4.34Tulane University1.3412.2%1st Place
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4.85College of Charleston1.269.4%1st Place
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4.28University of South Florida1.6013.1%1st Place
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4.69Tulane University1.358.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 25.7% | 22.8% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Samantha Gardner | 20.5% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Grace Jones | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 29.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 26.9% |
| Lucy Spearman | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 13.1% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.