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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.74+1.89vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.03+3.56vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97-0.47vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10-1.74vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.25-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.72-1.33vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.55-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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3.89University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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6.56Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.53Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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3.26Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
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5.83Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 31.9% | 25.4% | 18.8% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Mumma | 13.2% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 46.2% |
| Ian Donahue | 15.8% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Genoa Warner | 19.0% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Denney | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 7.5% |
| Thomas Presti | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 24.4% | 19.7% |
| Alexander Strothe | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 23.4% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.