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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.95+9.03vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.96+7.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.08+6.43vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.17+4.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.76+1.41vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.49+5.71vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.78-0.66vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.66vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.39-1.20vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.50-2.26vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.93-0.98vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.49-5.64vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-0.33vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.41-7.24vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.39-3.84vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.03-7.42vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.03University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.71Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.34George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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8.66Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.74George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.02Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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13.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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7.76Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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12.16Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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12.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Gallagher | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Porter Killian | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| George White | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% |
| Anthony Minder | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Boyd Housey | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Janov | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Priebe | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Gray Benson | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Booher | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 28.1% |
| Jack Corbett | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Chris Robertson | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.