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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.95+8.96vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.96+7.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.72vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.41+3.77vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.17+3.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.57vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.78-0.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87+5.91vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-0.26vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.51+1.84vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+2.11vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93-1.72vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.03-3.68vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.85vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.08-5.82vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.39-7.93vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.50-9.33vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.49-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.96University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.95Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.77Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.36George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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13.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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8.74Georgetown University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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10.28Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.67George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.55Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Gallagher | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Corbett | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Porter Killian | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Gray Benson | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Minder | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Booher | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 30.6% |
| Boyd Housey | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 20.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Janov | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Priebe | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| George White | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.