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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.71vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.50+5.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.41+5.02vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78+2.30vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.08+3.28vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.17+1.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.49-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.24vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.96-1.14vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-2.87vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.39-5.20vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.93-4.45vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-3.46vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-1.86vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.49-5.09vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.02Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.3George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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10.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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9.86Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.13Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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11.91Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Corbett | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Minder | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Porter Killian | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Gray Benson | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| William Gallagher | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Boyd Housey | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Janov | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% |
| Christopher Booher | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 31.2% |
| George White | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.