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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.50+6.71vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+6.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+4.66vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.03+5.33vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41+2.78vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.39+1.93vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.96+2.71vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.08+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.17-0.86vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.39+1.24vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.78-5.33vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.76-6.64vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95-4.49vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.93-5.16vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-1.95vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.49-5.16vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.95Georgetown University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.93George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.71Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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12.24Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.67George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Priebe | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Boyd Housey | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Gray Benson | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Jack Corbett | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Janov | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Porter Killian | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Chris Robertson | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% |
| Anthony Minder | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Gallagher | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Booher | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 29.4% |
| George White | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.