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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.64vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+3.93vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+5.64vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+2.23vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.95+4.00vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72+0.10vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.23+0.97vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.25+3.75vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.11vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.09+2.60vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-1.79vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.66vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-3.50vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-5.15vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.53-0.78vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-6.12vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-8.39vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.0Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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6.1Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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11.75University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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12.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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14.22University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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9.88Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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15.3Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| JC Hermus | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| August Sturm | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| Christian Filter | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Christian Koules | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 22.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.