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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+8.13vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+3.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69+3.43vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+5.03vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+4.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-0.55vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.12+0.33vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-0.50vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.08+5.54vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.09+0.74vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.76vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.53-0.04vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.23-7.10vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.97-6.90vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.25-5.04vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.43Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.03Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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5.45Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.15Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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15.54Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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12.74University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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13.96University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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7.9College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.96University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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9.67Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 45.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| August Sturm | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 10.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Christian Koules | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 22.2% |
| Steven Leuck | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 5.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.