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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.61vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.12+6.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+2.99vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+2.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+7.23vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69+0.24vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.53+7.22vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77+1.70vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.25+2.87vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.08+5.58vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.95-1.77vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-2.73vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-3.54vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-5.28vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.23-7.03vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-6.72vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-8.40vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.09-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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5.99Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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6.24Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.22University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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9.7Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.87University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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15.58Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 8.7% |
| JC Hermus | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koules | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 24.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 5.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 46.5% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Christian Filter | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| August Sturm | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.