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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.42vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+6.08vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+6.01vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+4.93vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+3.89vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.81-0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.35vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-2.73vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.09-0.61vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+2.53vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.25+0.09vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-5.89vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-5.19vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.09-2.67vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.08-0.57vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.81-7.29vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.53-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.93Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.92Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.09University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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12.33University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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15.43Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.71Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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14.05University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Steven Leuck | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Christian Filter | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Jensen McTighe | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| August Sturm | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 8.6% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 43.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Christian Koules | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 21.0% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.