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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.55vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+4.31vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+6.21vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+4.83vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.12+2.35vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.81-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93+1.01vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77+0.74vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-0.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.40vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-4.53vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.25-1.35vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.09-1.91vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-6.63vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-7.16vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.53-2.63vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.83Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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5.77Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.74Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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12.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.65University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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14.37University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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15.28Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 5.9% |
| August Sturm | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Christian Koules | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 21.4% | 24.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.