Race 11A

open-sugar-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Emma Tallman 14.4% 13.9% 14.2% 12.8% 13.1% 13.6% 10.4% 5.6% 2.1%
Charlie Herrick 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 9.2% 9.6% 12.8% 16.6% 20.6% 13.2%
Kelly Holthus 21.0% 19.1% 17.6% 15.2% 11.3% 8.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.4%
Matheo Graham-capasso 13.4% 15.8% 15.0% 12.8% 14.8% 11.7% 9.4% 5.7% 1.3%
Dylan Sih 14.4% 12.7% 12.8% 13.9% 13.8% 12.9% 11.1% 6.5% 1.8%
Hank Seum 10.2% 10.4% 11.9% 13.5% 11.2% 13.4% 13.6% 12.1% 3.6%
Ricky Miller 5.8% 6.3% 6.7% 7.2% 9.0% 10.5% 16.2% 23.3% 15.0%
Peter Foley 12.7% 13.6% 12.8% 13.0% 13.2% 12.3% 11.1% 9.2% 2.1%
Zachary Aronson 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 2.4% 4.0% 4.9% 6.7% 14.6% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.