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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+1.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+1.29vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.03+3.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.74-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.72-0.41vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.55-1.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.25-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Boston College3.550.3%1st Place
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3.29Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.54Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.94Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
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4.64Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 31.5% | 26.1% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Genoa Warner | 19.3% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 21.5% | 45.1% |
| Ian Donahue | 17.0% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Hunter Mumma | 13.5% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 23.1% | 17.9% |
| Alexander Strothe | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 25.2% | 25.9% |
| Jacob Denney | 7.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.