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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.32vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.97+7.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+4.24vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.58vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+4.60vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.12+2.31vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.23+0.78vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.81-2.39vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-3.81vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-1.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45+0.08vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.95-2.74vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.08+2.19vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.09-1.97vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-6.04vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.53-1.73vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.25-5.16vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.6Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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5.61Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.26Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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15.19Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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14.27University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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11.84University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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12.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 41.7% |
| August Sturm | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Christian Koules | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 24.6% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.