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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.12+7.52vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.45+9.21vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+6.88vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+2.07vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+2.74vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.81-0.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42+0.12vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-2.79vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.95-0.12vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.53+4.29vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-2.00vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.08+3.61vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.25-2.60vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-6.70vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.70vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.09-4.62vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.88Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.74College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.21Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.88Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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14.29University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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15.61Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.4University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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12.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| JC Hermus | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Steven Leuck | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Christian Koules | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 20.5% | 24.0% |
| Christian Filter | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 46.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 7.7% |
| August Sturm | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 7.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.