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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.12+6.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+6.05vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+3.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+1.99vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+4.99vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.09+5.25vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.95+0.81vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.81-3.45vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-0.71vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-2.57vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-2.93vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.25-1.45vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.08+1.14vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.53-0.87vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-6.27vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.62vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.93-12.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.7College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.99Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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8.81Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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5.55Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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11.55University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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15.14Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.13University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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9.73Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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5.13Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Christian Filter | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Steven Leuck | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| August Sturm | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 7.9% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 40.4% |
| Christian Koules | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 22.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.