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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+5.31vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+5.53vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+1.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+0.32vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.95+3.04vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09+1.46vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.23-0.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.22vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45+1.22vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.08+4.38vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.09-0.86vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-5.38vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.75vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.25-4.22vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-7.84vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.53-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.04Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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11.22Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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15.38Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.06Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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12.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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14.06University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.6% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 45.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| August Sturm | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 7.4% |
| Christian Filter | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Christian Koules | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.