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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.52vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.45+9.27vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+2.87vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+2.07vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.09+7.20vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+3.72vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.23+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93+1.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.26vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.72-3.71vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-2.52vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.97-2.75vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.95-4.17vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.25-2.54vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.09-6.62vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.53-1.70vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.59vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.27Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.87Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.72Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.29Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.83Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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11.46University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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14.3University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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12.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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15.31Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| August Sturm | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Christian Filter | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Christian Koules | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 20.7% | 23.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.6% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.