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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+4.89vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.97+7.09vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+5.49vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.58vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.69+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.25+5.73vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42+0.09vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-2.76vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.23-1.23vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.08+5.47vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45+0.07vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-3.32vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.53+0.98vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.09-1.96vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-6.36vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-6.92vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.64vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.95-9.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.58Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.09Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.73University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.24Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.77College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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15.47Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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13.98University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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12.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.71Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| JC Hermus | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 16.4% | 45.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Christian Koules | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 21.3% |
| August Sturm | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.7% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.